2011 Oscar Predictions

This year with the help of the Official Oscar iPhone/iPod Touch app, I was able to quickly and conveniently make my Oscar predictions.

Here are my predictions imported directly from the app, with a few additional comments by me.

Best Picture: The King’s Speech , Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin 
A lot of people (especially critics) want The Social Network to win, however I don’t really get its Best Picture appeal (though I agree it’s a very good film).  I’m going with what is essentially the people’s choice, The King’s Speech, to win the big one.

Directing: The King’s Speech, Tom Hooper
If The Social Network wins any major Oscars, it would be for directing, since I believe the point of the film’s whole awards run was the coronation of David Fincher.  However, the only thing that throws a wrench into that plan is that Tom Hooper won the Director’s Guild award (and they are rarely ever wrong).

Writing (Original Screenplay): The King’s Speech, Screenplay by David Seidler
I think Inception might have a shot here as well, however I’m playing it safe and picking The King’s Speech.

Writing (Adapted Screenplay): The Social Network, Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin
This one is pretty much guaranteed.

Actor in a Leading Role: Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
Even when The Social Network took the early lead in the awards race, this was the constant win for The King’s Speech.  I see no change here.

Actor in a Supporting Role: Christian Bale, The Fighter
I would personally pick Geoffrey Rush for the win, however the academy likes to award method acting.

Actress in a Leading Role: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
This one is pretty much a shoe-in and the world can forget that Natalie Portman became famous through Star Wars.

Actress in a Supporting Role: Melissa Leo, The Fighter
From what I hear, this is not as much of a shoe-in as it used to be and there might be a surprise win in this category (Hailee Steinfeld perhaps).  However, I’m sticking with Leo for my prediction.

Well those are the major categories.  Here are the rest of my predictions:

  • Short Film (Animated): Day & Night, Teddy Newton
  • Documentary (Feature): Waste Land, Lucy Walker and Angus Aynsley
  • Short Film (Live Action): The Confession, Tanel Toom
  • Documentary (Short Subject): Killing in the Name, 
  • Film Editing: The Social Network, Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter
  • Sound Editing: Inception, Richard King
  • Foreign Language Film: Biutiful, Mexico
  • Sound Mixing: Inception, Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick
  • Makeup: The Wolfman, Rick Baker and Dave Elsey
  • Visual Effects: Inception, Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb
  • Music (Original Score): The Social Network, Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
  • Animated Feature Film: Toy Story 3, Lee Unkrich
  • Art Direction: Inception, Production Design: Guy Hendrix Dyas, Set Decoration: Larry Dias and Doug Mowat
  • Cinematography: Inception, Wally Pfister
  • Music (Original Song): We Belong Together (from “Toy Story 3”), Music and Lyric by Randy Newman 
  • Costume Design: Alice In Wonderland, Colleen Atwood

Sean Kelly Author

Sean Patrick Kelly is a self-described über-geek, who has been an avid film lover for all his life. He graduated from York University in 2010 with an honours B.A. in Cinema and Media Studies and he likes to believe he knows what he’s talking about when he writes about film (despite occasionally going on pointless rants).